Dane Knecht
Guest on No Priors: Artificial Intelligence | Technology | Startups. 181 claims across 1 episode, Oct 2026.
Positions over time
Every pair of statements that was compared. Only a verified change counts as a change of mind; rewording, added nuance and different questions do not.
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Predictions, in their words
As stated, each with its moment. A date appears only where the speaker gave one.
“We are just literally protecting critical infrastructure, as you said. Um, and, uh, a- a- and I think when those kind of critical moments happen, uh, uh, uh, people and, uh, will, will rise to, to that challenge.”
Expects: People will rise to the challenge during critical moments involving infrastructure protection. · no date given · not yet resolved
“You're saying, you know, "These devices, these, these, these flows are, uh, secured in a, in a different way." Um, uh, and, and everything's gonna be tightened.”
Expects: Organizations will tighten their security measures. · no date given · not yet resolved
“The, the, the bad guys, the bad guys are, are gonna find a way to get it. Um, so all UR's, uh, and, and the, you know, the, the top companies will have a way of getting it as well.”
Expects: Bad actors and top companies will find ways to access the capabilities under discussion. · no date given · not yet resolved
“Um, you know, and I, I expect that, you know, through the rest of this year, uh, and into next year, by the next 18 months, uh, majority of, uh, uh, teams' time is gonna be spent on security.”
Expects: Security will probably consume most teams’ time over the next 18 months. · 23 Oct 2026 – 23 Apr 2028 · not yet resolved
“And I don't think that'll last forever. I think that'll be a, uh, a short transition. Uh, you know, uh, at some point the AI will have, uh, surveyed the majority of the code and found most of the bugs, uh, or found most of the shortcuts.”
Expects: The speaker expects AI eventually to inspect most code and identify most bugs or shortcuts. · no date given · not yet resolved · In a shared prediction of 16 →
“And I don't think that'll last forever. I think that'll be a, uh, a short transition. Uh, you know, uh, at some point the AI will have, uh, surveyed the majority of the code and found most of the bugs, uh, or found most of the shortcuts.”
Expects: The current increase in security workload will be temporary rather than permanent. · no date given · not yet resolved
“Um, but I, I, I, I don't think that's gonna be... Last forever. Uh, you know, I, I see a world in, like, 18 months, uh, where, uh, you know, uh, new software productivity goes way up 'cause, you know, all those resources are back f- uh, focused on that.”
Expects: The speaker does not expect the period of accelerated security spending to last indefinitely. · no date given · not yet resolved
“Um, but I, I, I, I don't think that's gonna be... Last forever. Uh, you know, I, I see a world in, like, 18 months, uh, where, uh, you know, uh, new software productivity goes way up 'cause, you know, all those resources are back f- uh, focused on that.”
Expects: Productivity in producing new software is expected to rise substantially in about 18 months as resources shift back toward software development. · 23 Oct 2026 – 23 Apr 2028 · not yet resolved
“Um, uh, and I think, you know, software will just get more secure o- over time.”
Expects: The speaker expects software security to improve over time. · no date given · not yet resolved
“But I, I think it will get there, and I think, uh, uh, the, you know, that, that's where humans still come in and human judgment comes in in, uh, making sure that we design the software i- in a way that, uh, uh, it can stand on, you know, its own securely.”
Expects: The speaker expects AI to eventually help build secure software, while human judgment remains necessary to ensure software is designed to be secure on its own. · no date given · not yet resolved
All 30 predictions
“Yeah. I mean, yes. I, I, I, I, I think we do. I think, I think, uh, um, we find ways to deliver the content, uh, and, and, and meet, and meet agents and humans where they are, as opposed to trying to meet them in the same place.”
Expects: Content delivery will diverge into approaches tailored separately to agents and humans, rather than serving both in the same place. · no date given · not yet resolved
“And so, uh, if a, if an agent's reading that site, uh, I, I think there is a world where you get to the point where, uh, uh, an agent can decide whether or not they want to read the content, and then they can decide, uh, if they want to pay the, the CPM rate, right?”
Expects: The speaker sees a possible future in which an agent chooses whether to read a website's content and whether to pay its CPM rate. · no date given · not yet resolved
“Um, I, I think we will get to a place where, uh, uh, uh, Muse and, uh, Dots and, uh, all those personal agents, uh, will be able to, uh, accomplish tasks, uh, seamlessly as you as a human could do, e-even, even easier.”
Expects: The speaker expects Muse, Dots, and other personal agents eventually to accomplish tasks as seamlessly as humans, or more easily. · no date given · not yet resolved
“So like, you know, kind of always knew that you needed a payments, a better payments rail on the internet, uh, but we haven't been able to, you know, kind of figure it out. And, uh, uh, I, I think agents will lead us to that as well.”
Expects: Agents will help bring about a better payments rail for the internet. · no date given · not yet resolved
“Uh, and it, it might not involve those three teams at all. It might just involve, uh, a, a new way of doing things. And, you know, so what came out of that was, uh, a tool where a product manager now goes in and describes the cohort.”
Expects: The redesigned customer-email process might eliminate the involvement of the three previous teams by using a different approach. · no date given · not yet resolved
“Let's use the, uh, you know, the, uh, the top frontier models for that." Um, and then, uh, you know, once the plan's written out, and agreed upon, and iterated on, then, you know, uh, potentially some more of the open source models, uh, can go do that.”
Expects: Open-source models may be able to execute a plan after it has been written, agreed upon, and iterated on. · no date given · not yet resolved
“Um, uh, but I think, I think, you know, as we start to learn and experiment, I think it will become intelligent. Uh, and, uh, you know, uh, uh, uh, and, and, you know, over time there'll be more governance on that.”
Expects: The speaker expects model selection and task allocation to become more intelligent through learning and experimentation, and expects governance to increase over time. · no date given · not yet resolved
“And, and I, I don't think that that's a natural, uh, um, uh, natural for most of us yet. Um, uh, and I think that will, that will take time. And, uh, so yeah, I think we're still very early, uh, in, in our AI journey.”
Expects: AI becoming a habitual natural default for most people; Dane Knecht thinks this has not happened yet and will take time. · no date given · not yet resolved
“Yeah, I mean, I- I- I think largely, uh, you know, we're, uh, you know, today we have one red team. I, I think by the end of the, you know, the end of the year next year, we will probably have four or five red teams.”
Expects: Dane Knecht expects Cloudflare's red team to grow from one team to probably four or five teams by the end of next year. · by 31 Dec 2027 · not yet resolved
“Uh, and so they, they will, they will automate, uh, a way those, those things as they, as they, as they need to, as they kind of realize that there's no other way, way, way to do that.”
Expects: Engineers will automate work when they realize there is no other way to handle it. · no date given · not yet resolved
“Just emergency, right? So you're gonna move forward all your security spend, uh, over the next 18 months, uh, both from, uh, uh, the red team side, uh, which is, uh, more the offensive, uh, uh, trying to actively try to exploit things, as well as, uh, the defensive side, uh, uh, uh, h- how you prepare things.”
Expects: Emergencies will accelerate security spending, including both offensive red-team work and defensive preparation, over the next 18 months. · 23 Oct 2026 – 23 Apr 2028 · not yet resolved
“Uh, and then on, on a go-forward basis, you know, uh, uh, I think this, you know, the software development life cycle, the agent development life cycle is gonna need to change. Uh, uh, and, you know, s- uh, luckily the s- the same way that we can use security right now, uh, for red team and things like that, it'll just be built into the process every step of the way.”
Expects: The speaker expects security practices to be integrated into every step of the software and agent development process. · no date given · not yet resolved
“Uh, and then on, on a go-forward basis, you know, uh, uh, I think this, you know, the software development life cycle, the agent development life cycle is gonna need to change. Uh, uh, and, you know, s- uh, luckily the s- the same way that we can use security right now, uh, for red team and things like that, it'll just be built into the process every step of the way.”
Expects: The speaker expects software and agent development life cycles to change going forward. · no date given · not yet resolved
“So, you know, looking at all your software and saying, "How can I simplify this? How can I, uh, uh, re- reduce, uh, the, you know, the, the footprint, the code?" Um, uh, a- and, and then, you know, beyond that, I mean, things like formal verification, like, and, uh, I think things that, uh, you know, safer programming languages and just things that are kind of built into the runtimes that, uh, make everything safer will come.”
Expects: Formal verification, safer programming languages, and runtime-level safety features will become part of software security practices. · no date given · not yet resolved
“Uh, all these things that we've been talking about for years. Uh, you know, uh, micropayments, you know, always are two years, two years away. And, uh, um, uh, you know, uh, I, I, I think agents will, will actually push that forward, and actually, I think we will see a world where, where actually there is a new economic model for content creators.”
Expects: The speaker expects agents to advance micropayments, a technology that has repeatedly been described as two years away. · no date given · not yet resolved
“Uh, all these things that we've been talking about for years. Uh, you know, uh, micropayments, you know, always are two years, two years away. And, uh, um, uh, you know, uh, I, I, I think agents will, will actually push that forward, and actually, I think we will see a world where, where actually there is a new economic model for content creators.”
Expects: A new economic model for content creators will emerge. · no date given · not yet resolved
“Um, uh, you know, if, you know, we can actually increase the number of content creators out there, which, uh, you know, the l- the last generation of, of the internet has done very well, like with YouTube and TikTok and, uh, X, uh, um, uh, I, I think we can actually make it even exponentially larger.”
Expects: The new internet monetization approach could increase the number of content creators exponentially. · no date given · not yet resolved
“Like, hu- humans just aren't, aren't gonna ever be good at that, right? Like, uh, um, you know, uh, uh, um, but, you know, early on you do it kind of, uh, brute force, and you, you know, peop- you get people to experiment, and you say, "Hey, well, you know, let's try for the, uh, planning part.”
Expects: Humans will not be good at selecting the best AI model for each task. · no date given · not yet resolved
“And, uh, um, uh, uh, I, I think if we do it right, we'll actually be able to do them both faster, uh, with AI. I mean, while, while AI has become the, uh, the, the tool that's causing this kind of security apocalypse, uh, uh, vuln apocalypse, uh, to happen, uh, it, it, it, it is also the tool that, uh, can help us, uh, solve it faster as well, right?”
Expects: Dane Knecht thinks Cloudflare can do security work and other work faster if it uses AI well. · no date given · not yet resolved
“Yeah, I mean, uh, I think every, o- over time, uh, it all has to be open because everyone's gonna get access to it anyways. And, uh, um, uh, you know, the-”
Expects: Dane Knecht believes that, over time, everyone will gain access to all relevant models or capabilities regardless, so they must be open. · no date given · not yet resolved
Appearances
Claims per episode
- 23 Oct 2026Democratizing Security for the Agentic Web with Cloudflare CTO Dane KnechtNo Priors: Artificial Intelligence | Technology | Startups · guest