Speaker
Si Sheppard
Guest on Dwarkesh Podcast. 95 claims across 1 episode, Oct 2026.
95claims, each timestamped
0 of 12signals on the brief
0verified changes of mind
3open predictions
Positions over time
Every pair of statements that was compared. Only a verified change counts as a change of mind; rewording, added nuance and different questions do not.
No two statements by this speaker have been compared yet.
Predictions
As stated. A window appears only where the speaker gave one.
| Expects | By | Said | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moctezuma II’s brother warned that if Moctezuma allowed Cortez into his house, Cortez would take the house from him. | no date given | 1 Oct 2026 | pending |
| The speaker speculates that if Montezuma had left the capital and ruled through subordinates, Cortes would have been baffled and unable to pursue him without provoking an excessive response, leaving Cortes with extremely limited options; the speaker does not know what Cortes would have done. | no date given | 1 Oct 2026 | pending |
| If the Tlaxcalans had turned against Cortez, he would have been defeated, no Spaniard would have survived, and none would have made it back to the coast. | no date given | 1 Oct 2026 | pending |
Appearances
Claims per episode
- 1 Oct 2026Si Sheppard – How did a few hundred Spanish soldiers topple two empires?Dwarkesh Podcast · other