4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
Speaker

Si Sheppard

Guest on Dwarkesh Podcast. 95 claims across 1 episode, Oct 2026.

95claims, each timestamped
0 of 12signals on the brief
3open predictions

Positions over time

Every pair of statements that was compared. Only a verified change counts as a change of mind; rewording, added nuance and different questions do not.

No two statements by this speaker have been compared yet.

Predictions, in their words

As stated, each with its moment. A date appears only where the speaker gave one.

“His own brother, Quitlawac, tells him, if you allow this man inside your house, he will take your house away from you.”

Expects: Moctezuma II’s brother warned that if Moctezuma allowed Cortez into his house, Cortez would take the house from him. · no date given · not yet resolved

Si SheppardDwarkesh Podcast · 1 Oct 2026
“If the Lashkarlans had turned on Cortez at that point, he would have been finished. But not one Spaniard would have survived. None of them would have made it back to the coast.”

Expects: If the Tlaxcalans had turned against Cortez, he would have been defeated, no Spaniard would have survived, and none would have made it back to the coast. · no date given · not yet resolved

Si SheppardDwarkesh Podcast · 1 Oct 2026
“into the city he was making himself vulnerable by staying there also in an adjacent palace if he had gone to some further location made some excuse a pilgrimage or an expedition of some kind and had ruled through subordinates Cortes would have been baffled and he couldn't go chasing after the emperor that that would be obviously too provocative but without the emperor there Cortes would have had his options extremely limited and I don't know what he would have done in that circumstance.”

Expects: The speaker speculates that if Montezuma had left the capital and ruled through subordinates, Cortes would have been baffled and unable to pursue him without provoking an excessive response, leaving Cortes with extremely limited options; the speaker does not know what Cortes would have done. · no date given · not yet resolved

Si SheppardDwarkesh Podcast · 1 Oct 2026

Appearances

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