Tokenization, Agentic Trading, Harmonic: Robinhood's Mission to Expand Ownership with CEO Vlad Tenev
What does it mean to build wealth as an individual investor in today’s society, especially as gains continue to get concentrated into smaller groups of VCs or institutional investors? Robinhood’s CEO and co-founder Vlad Tenev has a vision that can be summed up in one word: Ownership. In this episode, Sarah Guo chats with Vlad to get a closer look at how Robinhood has evolved from a simple app to buy stocks at zero commission into a global conglomerate that allows customers to own across a wide variety of surfaces and asset classes. Vlad explains how Robinhood is helping users extend ownership amidst the current economy and ongoing AI revolution through Trump accounts, tokenization of privates, and newer product offerings like Robinhood Chain, Agentic Trading, and Agentic Credit Card. He also talks about how his new mathematical superintelligence startup, Harmonic, is revolutionizing the field and how he hopes it will decentralize new discoveries and inventions. Vlad and Sarah also discuss how prediction markets could tie into the ownership conversation, whether financial infrastructure can be optimized to enable even higher volumes of high-frequency trading, and his advice for maintaining a level head when facing the vagaries of a changing financial market.
Full show notes
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Chapters:
00:46 – Intro to Vlad Tenev, His Background, and Robinhood Today
12:25 – A Revolutionary Future for Mathematics
18:49 – Robinhood’s Vision for Tokenization
26:06 – Monetizing Knowledge via Prediction Markets
28:48 – Impacts of Agentic Trading and Democratizing Trading
33:48 – Safeguarding Financial Infrastructure for a New Load of HFTs
38:30 – Ownership of Private Companies in the AI Revolution
48:34 – Robinhood and Trump Accounts
50:47 – Keeping a Steady Hand and Head as a Leader
53:48 – Conclusion
5 Nov 2026 · 54:08 · transcript: transcribed
Claims
In the order they were said
“Prediction markets are an evolution of news. You just can see what's happening and what's likely to happen in the future through the odds.”
“It's too centralized, right? It's like AI companies with their big data centers, and their employees using secret models to sort of do all this work.”
“So agentic trading, clearly product market fit. We're seeing really strong adoption, like over a hundred and fifty thousand customers have opened agentic trading accounts with us.”
“We do a lot of things. Uh, we're live in some form or another in over a hundred and twenty countries. And if I had to sum up Robinhood in one word or one idea, it would be ownership.”
Claim: Robinhood operates in some form in more than 120 countries.
“We do a lot of things. Uh, we're live in some form or another in over a hundred and twenty countries. And if I had to sum up Robinhood in one word or one idea, it would be ownership.”
Claim: Vlad Tenev describes ownership as the central idea that summarizes Robinhood.
“I think we're the ownership company, the company is that, that's most associated with that. And when I say that, um, so w-why does ownership matter?”
Claim: Vlad Tenev believes Robinhood is the company most strongly associated with ownership.
“Um, I think on an individual basis, people want to own things. It's the tried-and-true route to financial freedom, financial independence.”
“You know, if, if you're, if you're an asset owner, um, and you accumulate assets over time, it's just the, the, the best way to build your wealth.”
Claim: Vlad Tenev believes that owning and accumulating assets over time is the best way to build wealth.
“And also, you know, the things you own say a lot about your personality. It's almost like it, it becomes like a part of your identity.”
“Like, if it's a car collection, or your collect-collectibles, your, your cards, your stock portfolio, I think there's a lot of individuality into it.”
“So I think there's an individual benefit, but I think there's also a, a collective benefit i-in, i-in the sense that, uh, a society without broad ownership is inherently very unstable.”
Claim: Vlad Tenev believes a society without widespread ownership is inherently unstable.
“It's a fragile society. And if, if you have more people that own things, they're more bought in, they have more, more stake in the outcome, and they become kind of defenders and protectors of the system.”
“And so I think especially now when people are kind of pushing back against society, and it, it feels a little bit fraught with AI and, and all of this disruption, I think giving people the ability to own companies at earlier stages is, uh, is increasingly important.”
“So it's really what ties together all of our things from, uh, Trump accounts, which is ownership at age zero, Robinhood ventures, ownership of private companies before they go public.”
“Tokenization, you can think of as ownership gone global. Like, how can we make all the people outside the US, people in a hundred and twenty-plus countries that don't sometimes even have functional banking systems, how can we kind of plug them into this economic fabric of society?”
“Tokenization, you can think of as ownership gone global. Like, how can we make all the people outside the US, people in a hundred and twenty-plus countries that don't sometimes even have functional banking systems, how can we kind of plug them into this economic fabric of society?”
Claim: Vlad Tenev characterizes tokenization as a way to extend ownership globally.
“Um, so yeah, that, that's how I think about it. We started off as just, um, a simple app to buy stocks at zero commissions on your phone, and then we've kind of expanded from that into a increasingly global financial conglomerate that a-allows customers to own things across a wide variety of surfaces and asset classes.”
“Yeah. So I mean, rewinding back even, even further, I was born in Eastern Europe in the late eighties, kind of on the brink of the collapse of the Soviet Union and the lifting of the Iron Curtain.”
“And, uh, actually in the nineteen nineties, so I immigrated to the US after my, my parents. My dad had an opportunity to come study at the University of Delaware for his master's, and then, um, was also was able to take advantage of that and, and stay in America full-time.”
“And so my mom came about a year after, and I came about six months, um, after her, which was a, a pretty unique experience.”
“I mean, you talk to a lot of parents, um... I didn't see my dad for a year and a half and my mom for six months when I was a small child.”
“I lived with my grandparents and- A large portion of that was we just didn't have the money to send the whole family. So we, we had to, you know, we weren't sure that my dad would have a long-term future in this country.”
“So we thought maybe he'd come back after a year or two years. Uh, and anyway, he did quite well and was able to send for my mom and, and then me.”
“And my last year in Bulgaria, 1991, the inflation rate was something like 170% in Bulgaria.”
“So my early memories were the rolling blackouts and, you know, my, my family huddled around the radio, which was battery operated, just listening to what was going on.”
“The lines at the bodega, which I could see from my window for buying milk and eggs. The milk would come in these big plastic bags.”
“Um, and you know, the one week a year you would get bananas from other communist countries. So Cuba would... The Cuban bananas I remember were just amazing.”
“And then I would, I would come to the US and there were just bananas everywhere, right? But they weren't as good. Um, and so, yeah. And, and even after I moved, in 1997, Bulgaria had the unfortunate distinction of having the number one inflation rate in the world. It was something like 2000% annualized. So they were just adding zeros to the currency every couple of months. And so from that point, I just developed kind of a understanding of money.”
“And my grandparents actually would keep their assets in copper cookware. So there was this closet in my grandfather's house where, you know, he, he worked as a doctor kind of in the, um, in the shipbuilding and, and naval industries, so he was on a boat a lot of the times. So he had his contacts at the port, and as soon as he would get salary, he would exchange it for copper cook- cookware. So it was kind of the first real world asset that I, I encountered people investing in.”
“So he had his contacts at the port, and as soon as he would get salary, he would exchange it for copper cook- cookware. So it was kind of the first real world asset that I, I encountered people investing in.”
“Pots and pans. Much better than the local currency at the time. And so, uh, yeah, I just, I grew up with that. I grew up understanding, you know, what happens in a broken system, uh, where you don't have, you know, free markets and good, healthy capital markets.”
“And I'd say for me, um, I pretty quickly discovered that, uh, academically, I, I was quite strong, um, and also independent, basically by choice.”
Claim: Vlad Tenev says he was academically strong and independent from an early age.
“You know, my parents couldn't really affor- afford babysitters or after school activities or any of that stuff. They were, they were both working multiple jobs, and my dad was a full-time graduate student.”
“So it was kind of like, you know, when I was in kindergarten, five years old, they would... I would walk back from school by myself. Uh, they would tell me, "Okay, go to the neighbor's house." We lived in apartment buildings at the University of Maryland. "Knock on, knock on the door. Your neighbor will watch you for, you know, a couple of hours."”
“Then they realized, all right, our, our son's going through this, like, complicated ritual to get home. We might as well just give him the key and- ... you know, pretty soon after that, I would let myself in, do my homework, go outside, play with my friends. So I was, I was very independent. And, uh, there was always this, like, pressure of having to succeed and do well in school, probably for a couple reasons.”
“... you know, pretty soon after that, I would let myself in, do my homework, go outside, play with my friends. So I was, I was very independent. And, uh, there was always this, like, pressure of having to succeed and do well in school, probably for a couple reasons. One, I was good at it, and so everyone just, everyone around me was like, "Do more school. Skip grades. Like, do better in math. More math," you know?”
“And, you know, the teachers would have these meetings with my parents like, "Hey, your, your son, you know, do you know he's, he's really good at math? You should, you know, put him in this thing."”
“So I think that was one of the benefits of growing up around the University of Maryland, which is a very academically oriented community, and they would try to sort of like identify the kids that had potential and accelerate them.”
“Um, the other thing was my parents would just sit me down and say, "Look, the financial status of this family is very insecure. We're not making any money, so you're gonna have to basically get a scholarship if you wanna go to college, and y- to get a scholarship, you are gonna have to do very, very well in school.”
“And also, by the way, um, we might get... We're, we're, like, visa holders here." "So, you know, if we lose our jobs, we're gonna have to get sent back to Bulgaria." So there was all this pressure to succeed academically. And, um, you know, and, and for me, you know, my math PhD program, at some point, it became kind of this challenge, like, what's the hardest thing?”
“"So, you know, if we lose our jobs, we're gonna have to get sent back to Bulgaria." So there was all this pressure to succeed academically. And, um, you know, and, and for me, you know, my math PhD program, at some point, it became kind of this challenge, like, what's the hardest thing? How can I do better at the hardest thing? And it, it was this almost, like, competition with myself, um, and, and with, with my, my parents, who were also very academically strong.”
“... you know, "What, what was the most advanced math that you did?" And I think math has this, like, ladder of achievement. It's almost like playing a really good video game. Like, you always know what the next hardest thing is, and it's almost like how quickly can you go to algebraic geometry or algebraic topology, and can, can you, can you learn that earlier and kind of understand it?”
“And I think what appealed to me when I got to grad school was this idea that if you are... if you create a m- a new mathematical theory, you know, may- maybe you'll be remembered for a really long time and, you know, just like kids in school, everyone learns, you know, Gauss and Riemann and all these greats. If you create a theory, maybe kids will be learning and Sort of like thinking about your work hundred, hundreds of years from now.”
“I think, I think on the one hand it's very exciting and sort of, uh, predictable because the rise of AI models and the ability to verify the outputs put together has led to a kind of automation of the, of the math pipeline.”
“I mean, the math is changing so quickly, and, you know, math as a field hasn't changed very rapidly at all in thousands of years.”
Claim: Mathematics as a field has changed very slowly over thousands of years.
“I mean, when I was in grad school, most of the work was still being done in person with like chalk and a chalkboard. It's like there was no collaboration.”
“People weren't even using computers. So now, um, math has kind of converged with coding. Mathematicians are using the same tools. They're using version control.”
Claim: When the speaker was in graduate school, people were not even using computers for mathematics.
“People weren't even using computers. So now, um, math has kind of converged with coding. Mathematicians are using the same tools. They're using version control.”
“They're using like Lean for, for verification and, uh, and, and the field is acce- accelerating very rapidly. Um, about, about a year ago, so Harmonic, which is a, a startup that I co-founded a couple of years ago with the goal of building mathematical super intelligence.”
Claim: The field of mathematics is accelerating very rapidly.
“They're using like Lean for, for verification and, uh, and, and the field is acce- accelerating very rapidly. Um, about, about a year ago, so Harmonic, which is a, a startup that I co-founded a couple of years ago with the goal of building mathematical super intelligence.”
Claim: Mathematicians are using Lean to verify mathematical work.
“They're using like Lean for, for verification and, uh, and, and the field is acce- accelerating very rapidly. Um, about, about a year ago, so Harmonic, which is a, a startup that I co-founded a couple of years ago with the goal of building mathematical super intelligence.”
“Um, so last year we created, uh, a model called Aristotle that was one of three that got a gold medal on the International Math Olympiad.”
“And then subsequently to that, we rolled it out to the public, and, uh, we had people using Aristotle to tackle unsolved math problems.”
“And so, uh, uh, it was used to like solve these Erdos problems. Uh, there was these other, there were these other mathematicians that were, uh, using it for new results and, and so forth.”
“And so then I started thinking a lot about, okay, what's the future of math? Like what, how should these tools be used? And um, I think for, for me, it was very important for the tools that I build, not just Harmonic, but also Robinhood, to be empowering to individuals, to people.”
Claim: Vlad Tenev believes the tools he builds at Harmonic and Robinhood should empower individuals.
“And so the one thing I don't love about like this latest, uh, wave of, of AI models solving math problems is that it's too centralized, right?”
Claim: Vlad Tenev dislikes the centralization of the latest wave of AI models solving mathematics.
“It's like AI companies with their big data centers and their employees using secret models to sort of do all this work.”
“And, and I think what, what's more attractive and what would ultimately win out in the end as a model is rolling these things out and actually putting them in the hands of people and having, having the users make interesting discoveries and, and inventions.”
“I mean, I have thoughts on both of them, but on, on the second one, it's much more interesting. I think that a world where you have the AI labs on a proprietary basis making all the discoveries and you have like the OpenAI or Anthropic data centers that are just running code, you know, managed by the employees of those companies and, you know, they're vertically integrating and, you know, producing all the drugs and selling the drugs to people, um, making all the mathematical and, and physical discoveries and publishing all the papers. If all of that is happening and it's owned by the AI labs themselves, I, I think that's a bit of like a dystopian outcome and unlikely to happen for, for a couple of reasons.”
“Um, not, not just like technological and market, but I think also like if, if that happens to a significant- ... degree, people will-- They'll lose their license-”
“Um, I think it's much more-- I think you could have the same outcome of, uh, Navier-Stokes being proven or, you know, the, uh, light, the partial Riemann hypothesis or any, any one of these things, and it'll be much more accepted if it was like a random layperson using- ... GPT-6.”
“I, I think for sure. Um, and I think that's how it's gonna happen. That's the likely scenario one year from now. I think you also have the, uh, the, the confounding factor of a lot of the people that are going into these AI labs are former researchers, and so they're like excited by doing research and, and I think they're confused as to why this is being poorly received.”
“I, I think for sure. Um, and I think that's how it's gonna happen. That's the likely scenario one year from now. I think you also have the, uh, the, the confounding factor of a lot of the people that are going into these AI labs are former researchers, and so they're like excited by doing research and, and I think they're confused as to why this is being poorly received.”
“Um- But yeah, I, I think that-- Yeah, and I've said this to folks that work at the companies. I think it would've been much better if they found some mathematicians and kinda collaborated with them to not make it seem like, you know, there's this dark data center dystopian future where, you know, one company is gonna make all of the scientific discoveries.”
“Yeah. So tokenization is really, it's a, it's a new innovation, and the idea is almost similar to stablecoin.”
Claim: Tokenization is a new innovation whose basic idea is similar to stablecoins.
“So the way a stablecoin works is you take some dollars or treasuries, put them, put, put them in a wrapper, put them in a box, and then you mint and burn tokens against the box.”
“And the traditional assets stay custodied at a traditional institution like a, like a bank, and then the tokens can trade freely on DeFi.”
“So they can move anywhere around the world, uh, they can trade in fractional amounts, they can be swapped in different protocols or lending pools.”
“Um, and that opens up just a, a ton of possibilities.”
Claim: Tokenization opens up many possibilities.
“Yeah. So you can kind of extend that concept to any real world asset. So we've, we've, uh, we've done it with stocks. So you can put stocks in a box and mint and burn tokens against them, and they can trade all over the internet on blockchains like software.”
“You can do it with private companies. You know, instead of a stock, it's like a SPV with private company shares. Um, behaves the same, with some slight differences around redeeming and, and things, things of that nature.”
“You could do it with art, collectibles, real estate. So, um, what we launched... And, and we've been playing around with tokenization and experimenting it, with it for many years.”
“So last year we had an event in the South of France where we launched stock tokens, which are tokenized versions of US stocks, and we did it in Europe.”
Claim: Robinhood launched tokenized US stocks in Europe last year.
“But it wasn't fully DeFi-enabled. So if you're a European customer using Robinhood, you could trade them, and they felt very much like real stocks, but you couldn't actually, you know, send them out on Ethereum or on the blockchain and put them in pools or compose them with, with other smart contracts.”
“Now, this year, we took it one step further. We relaunched stock tokens with fully DeFi-enabled characteristics, and we launched it in conjunction with Robinhood Chain, which is our new blockchain built for real world assets.”
“And Robinhood Chain has become one of the fastest-growing, I think the fastest-growing across a lot of metrics, blockchains in history. And what we've seen is just an explosion of developer activity.”
“Uh, I think we announced recently it's the number one chain in developer activity too. Um, and you know, uh, uh, developers have taken stock tokens, which have become kind of like Legos, and have started building all sorts of interesting smart contracts, NFTs, pooled assets where you'll take, for example, a meme coin and link it with a stock token.”
“Uh, I think we announced recently it's the number one chain in developer activity too. Um, and you know, uh, uh, developers have taken stock tokens, which have become kind of like Legos, and have started building all sorts of interesting smart contracts, NFTs, pooled assets where you'll take, for example, a meme coin and link it with a stock token.”
Claim: Robinhood recently announced that Robinhood Chain ranks first in developer activity.
“And, you know, this is just sort of month one and month two type ac-activity. Um, yeah, I think these financial primitives as the foundation of a developer platform will become really, really big.”
“And I think what's more exciting to me than this is, uh, Robinhood Chain is a way to enable the long tail of countries. So people in countries that don't have highly functioning capital markets or financial systems like, you know, places in South America or Africa.”
“Anyone with a smartphone and a non-custodial wallet can now get exposure to US markets at incredibly low cost. So in the same way that I think stablecoin became the default way for people in these countries to get access to dollars, stock tokens and products like that will be the default way to get access to US equities, um, for, for, for all of these people.”
“Anyone with a smartphone and a non-custodial wallet can now get exposure to US markets at incredibly low cost. So in the same way that I think stablecoin became the default way for people in these countries to get access to dollars, stock tokens and products like that will be the default way to get access to US equities, um, for, for, for all of these people.”
“Exactly. And private companies. And, and really the vision for Robinhood Chain and tokenization is, let's just take all the things that work on Robinhood and put them on chain and make them available to, um, people in all these countries.”
“And I think o-one thing I've learned is a lot of people... So, you know, we're, we're new to operating a blockchain, we're new to, uh, operating these, you know, on chain smart contract products.”
Claim: Robinhood is relatively new to operating a blockchain and on-chain smart-contract products.
“And a lot of the criticisms that, you know, Robinhood has received, like we've been called a corpo chain, right? Like, the best blockchains are... So, so they told me. They, they said the best blockchains are managed by these, like, organizations and consortiums, and everything's decentralized and, you know, you guys are a corporation managing a chain.”
“How is that gonna be as good? Well, um, maybe you sacrifice a little bit of, like, organizational decentralization purity, but what you get is just focused leadership and someone, you know, or some group of people with very, very clear direction pushing things forward.”
“And the, the other thing is also, I think it is good to have Robinhood-backed products on the chain too. A lot of chains take the approach of, you know, let a thousand flowers bloom.”
Claim: The speaker believes Robinhood-backed products should also be available on Robinhood Chain.
“Let the developers just build all this stuff. And we love the developers as well, but I think having primitives like stock tokens that have our backing that people can trust, um, uh... We've seen that that just creates more interest to, to build on them. 'Cause, you know, to some degree, people know, okay, Robinhood's backing them. They're, they're legit. Like, that's a trusted brand. We know they're not gonna go away. So, um, that gives them much more confidence to build than, you know, if it was just- A team of, you know, two or three engineers somewhere that are offering these primitives.”
“I mean, one of the things that I'm thinking about is, um, yeah, it's like how, how can we take some of these derivative products, like options? Can, can you make like really nice smart contract native options contracts? You know, there, there's been a tremendous amount of innovation in the traditional markets that's, to some degree, like stymied by how hard it is to just move off of mainframes onto more modern things and take all the counterparties that are, that rely on the system being predictable and slow-moving.”
“Can, can you make like really nice smart contract native options contracts? You know, there, there's been a tremendous amount of innovation in the traditional markets that's, to some degree, like stymied by how hard it is to just move off of mainframes onto more modern things and take all the counterparties that are, that rely on the system being predictable and slow-moving.”
“Um, so I, I think a, a big part of it is just let's provide the primitives and let the developers kind of put them together in, uh, in, in, in new ways.”
“And I don't wanna, I don't wanna, you know, presuppose what developers come up with because I, I wouldn't have been able to tell you that, you know, stock linked, stock token linked NFTs or, uh, stock token meme pairs would, would become a thing.”
“Like, I just had no way to, no way to foresee how quickly those things would grow and become, become real.”
“Yeah, I mean, I actually think prediction markets do tie into ownership because a lot of people have unique knowledge and ideas, and they have hot takes on things that maybe not everyone knows.”
“Like, you might be an expert in, uh, AI model development. You know, we have lots of contracts that allow you to speculate and hedge on what AI model will be best this week or this month or, or this year.”
“And the way to kind of like monetize that knowledge before prediction markets was highly indirect.”
“Like, maybe you could trade derivatives on, you know, Google stock or NVIDIA stock, right?”
“The stock would go down for some unrelated reason, you know, guidance and one of these things. So KPI contracts now allow you to actually trade the, the EPS print, the revenue print, or any of the other KPIs that, that might matter to a company.”
“So, um, I, I think there's that aspect where you can actually monetize your belief. Um, you can hedge more precisely.”
Claim: Robinhood's KPI contracts let users monetize their beliefs and hedge more precisely.
“Um, for example, there's a will the California billionaire tax pass contract, which I think is a useful hedging instrument for some people. Uh, uh, not me personally. I'm not hedging with it, but one could. Uh, the other thing about it is I think it's a new source of, of information. I, I think of it almost as in, in the pure form, prediction markets are an evolution of news.”
“I'm not hedging with it, but one could. Uh, the other thing about it is I think it's a new source of, of information. I, I think of it almost as in, in the pure form, prediction markets are an evolution of news.”
“So what does news look like in the future? I don't think it's The New York Times, uh, but I think it could be something like it, where you have your front page, your business section, lifestyle, culture, sports, uh, and sports is a big part of it.”
“Um, and, and you just can see what's happening and what's likely to happen in the future through the odds. So a lot of people don't even trade these things. They just like to open the app and just check out- ... what's gonna happen. Yeah.”
“Yeah. So we launched a product earlier this year, um, which is basically a Robinhood MCP. We call it Agentic Trading, and we, we have Agentic credit card as well.”
“So in, in the broader realm of agentic finance, I think there's two things that have product market fit. One is Agentic Trading, very clearly, like having an agent execute your trades and, and do a strategy for you.”
“And we're seeing really strong adoption, like over a hundred and fifty thousand, uh, customers have opened Agentic Trading accounts with us in, in the few months since we've launched it.”
“And, uh, if you, if you look at the tool calls, you know, the, the tool calls have just been following this smooth exponential where the last number we announced was something like thirty million tool, tool calls per day.”
“And a couple weeks ago at our Hood Summit event, we announced Robinhood Agents, which is basically taking it one step further, and the harness and the entire UI is now inside a Robinhood account.”
“So you can, you can kinda think of it as if, if you're a Claude code or a Codex user, uh, it's almost like a, a, a tool like that that's optimized for trading.”
“So you can run loops and say, "Okay, every day, you know, execute a run of my strategy, rebalance my portfolio, look at opportunities."”
“Um, we have skills, so, uh, you, you can, you know, do like a portfolio rebalance or all sorts of other things.”
Claim: Robinhood Agents provides skills for portfolio rebalancing and other tasks.
“Uh, we have agent apps. So we launched an app store where you can, for example, connect to a source of satellite data. And if you wanna create a strategy that like counts cars in parking lots of retailers or, you know, something of that nature, we'll, we'll make that available.”
“And, and the way that I think that'll evolve is We're, we're gonna look at all the capabilities that the coding harnesses have and see how we can provide really nice, clean trader-native versions of that, that just make it really, really easy to, to be an active trader.”
“Well, that's really the north star of the product. It's can we put the capabilities of a hedge fund or a sophisticated algorithmic trading firm into the pockets of normal individuals?”
“So in the same way that, you know, if you were a sophisticated, you know, grad student in computer science or something, you could, uh, write a trading strategy, and if you went through even more effort, you could deploy it, you could get, you know, rack space in the data center, connect it to the exchanges. Um, can we just sort of like streamline all aspects of that so that, you know, in, in the same way that it-it's made it easier for anyone to be a software engineer, Robinhood Agents and our MCP can make it easier for more people to be quant traders.”
“And I think the outcome of that is there will just be more trading activity. Um, I think at first it'll be concentrated in a relatively small group of sophisticated people, but their trading activity will likely increase quite substantially, and then over time it'll just filter to more and more of the population.”
“Yeah, I th- I think coding is a good analogy. It's like, um, there's lots of people that wanna-- There's people that code, and for them, you know, they were first to adopt the coding agents and their output multiplied.”
Claim: Vlad Tenev says people who code adopted coding agents early and multiplied their output.
“But then now there's people that just wouldn't have picked up, uh, you know, VS Code or Cursor before, but someone showed them how to use Claude or Codex, and now they can build a website just really easily.”
“So it'll, it'll lift... I think it'll lift the tide across the, across the board.”
Claim: Vlad Tenev expects coding agents to broadly raise people's ability to produce software.
“I don't think so. Um, so I'll tell you the safeguards we have on day one. So right now, you have to create a new separate account, which is segregated from your main Robinhood balance. So you can create an MCP account, you can create an agentic account, you have to move money in there. Um, and then, you know, for customers that choose to have trade approvals, uh, by default, you have to approve your trades, but then you can turn it off so that you could, you could run the strategy-”
“So you can create an MCP account, you can create an agentic account, you have to move money in there. Um, and then, you know, for customers that choose to have trade approvals, uh, by default, you have to approve your trades, but then you can turn it off so that you could, you could run the strategy-”
“Exactly. Well, actually, it's, it's not as dangerous as that because it's not like it can go into your other accounts and- ... move money for you.”
“So it's, it's, uh, sandboxed. It's, uh, sandboxed, uh, maybe not quite air-gapped, but, but pretty close. And we built a lot of the-- We refined a lot of the infrastructure for the sandboxing and the harness in-house at Robinhood.”
“Yeah, so far I think that it's not just a huge percentage of the market. The reason I don't think-- I, I don't see any clear massive overhauls necessary is that high-frequency trading has been a thing for a really long time.”
“I mean, markets went fully electronic, uh, about twenty years ago. And so, um, you know, everything from the exchanges to a lot of the brokers have sort of conformed to this new reality of most of the workflows being algorithmic trading that happens in data centers in New Jersey rather than what a lot of people still think happens, which is have paper tickets- ... and floor traders in, in a trading pit. So I, I don't think-- It's, it's not clear to me that anything fundamental has to change with regulation.”
“I mean, markets went fully electronic, uh, about twenty years ago. And so, um, you know, everything from the exchanges to a lot of the brokers have sort of conformed to this new reality of most of the workflows being”
Claim: Markets became fully electronic about twenty years before the conversation.
“... and floor traders in, in a trading pit. So I, I don't think-- It's, it's not clear to me that anything fundamental has to change with regulation.”
“Um, but, you know, as, as it gets bigger, and which I don't doubt it will, we might run into special cases for which we, we need more regulatory clarity or...”
“Yeah, I mean, there's a couple of different layers in the stack, right? And we, we should expect our on-chain stack is slightly different.”
“That already has MCPs. Um, but you have our on-chain tools, um, which a lot of it is... You know, I talked about Robinhood Chain being the best chain for real-world assets.”
Claim: The speaker claims that Robinhood Chain is the best blockchain for real-world assets.
“Also, it's the best chain for AI agents.”
Claim: The speaker claims that Robinhood Chain is the best blockchain for AI agents.
“So we're seeing a lot of agentic trading there. On our, um, CeFi centralized offerings, um, you know, w-we, we, we have a lot of end-to-end control over- The entire system, right? We have our databases, we have our code that the strategies are running on, the sandboxes. We build a lot of those tools. We have to optimize all of that.”
“So we're seeing a lot of agentic trading there. On our, um, CeFi centralized offerings, um, you know, w-we, we, we have a lot of end-to-end control over- The entire system, right?”
Claim: Robinhood reports substantial agentic trading on its on-chain offerings.
“We have our databases, we have our code that the strategies are running on, the sandboxes. We build a lot of those tools. We have to optimize all of that.”
“the algo, the market makers, which are all extremely sophisticated software shops. I mean, you're talking Citadel, Jane Street, Jump Trading.”
“These are like latency, low latency, high frequency folks. So I'm not so worried about them scaling to meet the demand. And then, and then you have the exchanges, and the exchanges, because of pressure from HFTs and algo trading, have really optimized their APIs to, to handle huge volumes.”
“These are like latency, low latency, high frequency folks. So I'm not so worried about them scaling to meet the demand. And then, and then you have the exchanges, and the exchanges, because of pressure from HFTs and algo trading, have really optimized their APIs to, to handle huge volumes.”
“But that said, I think that we're still, we're still at a low percentage of the total trading is agentic. So, um, I think we'll have some warning.”
“I mean, we'll see it increasing, and I, I don't think that, you know, we're, we're gonna be at the point, you know, imminently where agentic mediated trades are, you know, a double-digit percentage of, of the activity. I think we'll have some time.”
“Yeah. Um, and, and I think we identified this problem last year. You know, it, it's a couple of things, right? First, all of the major innovative AI companies are private. I mean, with some exceptions. You can look at Nvidia and, and, uh, and Google. But, you know, yeah, but those companies were already quite big before they really got into this new phase of, of AI.”
“Yeah. Um, and, and I think we identified this problem last year. You know, it, it's a couple of things, right? First, all of the major innovative AI companies are private.”
“I mean, with some exceptions. You can look at Nvidia and, and, uh, and Google. But, you know, yeah, but those companies were already quite big before they really got into this new phase of, of AI.”
Claim: Nvidia and Google were already quite large before they entered the newer phase of AI.
“So if you wanted to invest in a large language model, uh, a couple of years ago, and you wanted exposure to OpenAI or Anthropic, uh, you're basically out of luck as a, as an individual investor.”
“Um, and, and I think there's a lot of reasons for that. One is private markets have gotten... It's, it's gotten really easy for high-growth successful companies to raise money in the private markets.”
“At massive scale, yes.”
Claim: At massive scale, individual investors can benefit economically from AI-related activity.
“Massive scale, and that didn't used to be the case. You know, back in the '80s, a company like Microsoft, uh, even in the '90s with Amazon, you know, they went public at valuations in the hundreds of millions.”
“So individual investors that got in during the public offering could make 1000X. Now, if you have, uh, an AI lab that goes public at a trillion or two trillion, in order for a- an individual investor at IPO to make that type of return, they'd have to get into the quadrillions, right?”
Claim: Investors who bought Microsoft or Amazon at their public offerings could make 1,000x returns.
“So individual investors that got in during the public offering could make 1000X. Now, if you have, uh, an AI lab that goes public at a trillion or two trillion, in order for a- an individual investor at IPO to make that type of return, they'd have to get into the quadrillions, right?”
“Crazy. I, I think it's unlikely, basically. Maybe it could happen, but I think it's gonna be much tougher. And instead, you know, the, the gains keep getting concentrated into a smaller and smaller group of venture capitalists or institutional investors.”
“Crazy. I, I think it's unlikely, basically. Maybe it could happen, but I think it's gonna be much tougher. And instead, you know, the, the gains keep getting concentrated into a smaller and smaller group of venture capitalists or institutional investors.”
Claim: Vlad Tenev thinks an AI lab reaching a valuation in the quadrillions is unlikely, though possible.
“Um, and you know, then we're wondering, well, why are people upset about data centers? Well, I mean, if you think about it, if I'm an individual, I don't benefit economically from any of this activity. In fact, you could say, "Well, it's threatening my livelihood, my job. It's polluting my neighborhood. They're making all this noise." Um, and yet juxtapose AI with something like crypto.”
“Uh, crypto has not been... It's not like everyone trading crypto makes money, you know? And right now, Bitcoin is, uh, what is it?”
Claim: Trading cryptocurrency does not guarantee that every trader makes money.
“Eighty-five thousand. If you bought at a hundred and twenty thousand a couple of months ago, you're down. Um, 2022 and 2023 were rough for the crypto industry, to say the least. Uh, a lot of people lost money in those years. But yet in 2024, they came out in full force and, um, swung the election, I think, in a meaningful way.”
Claim: The cryptocurrency industry had difficult years in 2022 and 2023, when many people lost money.
“Eighty-five thousand. If you bought at a hundred and twenty thousand a couple of months ago, you're down. Um, 2022 and 2023 were rough for the crypto industry, to say the least.”
“Uh, a lot of people lost money in those years. But yet in 2024, they came out in full force and, um, swung the election, I think, in a meaningful way.”
“And if there's, uh, even a hint of regulatory overreach for crypto, you have this army of people that are just blasting social media and, you know, messaging their, their congressman and, uh, or woman and just fighting every, every inch of it.”
“And I think a big part of it is crypto is distributed broad ownership by individuals from the beginning, and it's almost institutions are coming in late, um, whereas AI is, is the difference.”
“So, uh, what do we do about it? Well, we launched two things. We believe that everyone should be able to invest in private companies, and I can't convince companies to go public earlier too effectively even though-”
Claim: Robinhood believes all individuals should have the ability to invest in private companies.
“So, uh, what do we do about it? Well, we launched two things. We believe that everyone should be able to invest in private companies, and I can't convince companies to go public earlier too effectively even though-”
“Even though I try doing that sometimes. Like, we do have our IPO. I mean, we're an underwriter. We're active in that pipeline. But, uh, individual investors should benefit from private companies and be a huge shareholder.”
“Even though I try doing that sometimes. Like, we do have our IPO. I mean, we're an underwriter. We're active in that pipeline. But, uh, individual investors should benefit from private companies and be a huge shareholder.”
Claim: Robinhood underwrites IPOs and is active in the IPO pipeline.
“That, that's really the, the vision behind Robinhood Ventures. How can we make it so that it's an anomaly to not have individual retail investors as a big constituent of your seed and Series A cap table?”
“So they should get-- They should actually be at the earliest possible stage. And so Robinhood Ventures Fund 1, we actually have an innovative structure for this.”
“You can kind of think of it as a publicly traded venture capital firm. And so what we did was we used our IPO channel, which we're the largest retail channel for IPOs, and we used that to raise capital in an IPO from Robinhood customers, individual retail, and then we used that to invest in startups.”
Claim: Robinhood is the largest retail distribution channel for IPOs.
“You can kind of think of it as a publicly traded venture capital firm. And so what we did was we used our IPO channel, which we're the largest retail channel for IPOs, and we used that to raise capital in an IPO from Robinhood customers, individual retail, and then we used that to invest in startups.”
“And then the, the funds are publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange. So they trade just like a stock. And so Robinhood Ventures Fund One was late-stage privates.”
Claim: Robinhood Ventures Fund One invests in late-stage private companies.
“And then the, the funds are publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange. So they trade just like a stock. And so Robinhood Ventures Fund One was late-stage privates.”
Claim: Robinhood's venture funds are publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange and trade like stocks.
“OpenAI is in that fund. You have, uh, you have a couple of other companies, fintechs, a lot of AI companies, Eleven Labs, um, Crusoe, uh, we recently announced.”
Claim: Robinhood Ventures Fund One includes OpenAI, ElevenLabs, Crusoe, and other fintech and AI companies.
“Um, uh, so that was ultra late stage. And then we asked ourselves, "Well, how can we actually go to the extreme and give people exposure to seed in series A?" And that's, uh, that's where Robinhood Ventures Fund Two, the idea came to partner with YC and, uh, use a structure to give people, uh, exposure to the earliest possible stage where the risk is highest, but the opportunity is, is also greatest, and that's the fund that Rich Aberman is, uh, is running for us.”
“And that's, uh, that's where Robinhood Ventures Fund Two, the idea came to partner with YC and, uh, use a structure to give people, uh, exposure to the earliest possible stage where the risk is highest, but the opportunity is, is also greatest, and that's the fund that Rich Aberman is, uh, is running for us.”
Claim: Rich Aberman manages Robinhood Ventures Fund Two.
“And that's, uh, that's where Robinhood Ventures Fund Two, the idea came to partner with YC and, uh, use a structure to give people, uh, exposure to the earliest possible stage where the risk is highest, but the opportunity is, is also greatest, and that's the fund that Rich Aberman is, uh, is running for us.”
“And then we have tokenization of privates, which solves that problem in a different way, but right now for outside of the US. And the North Star is can we get a private company to be real time tradable twenty four/seven in fractional quantities just like a stock or a crypto?”
“And then we have tokenization of privates, which solves that problem in a different way, but right now for outside of the US. And the North Star is can we get a private company to be real time tradable twenty four/seven in fractional quantities just like a stock or a crypto?”
Claim: Robinhood offers tokenization of private companies as an access mechanism outside the United States.
“Can you... You should be able to just trade Anthropic twenty four/seven in low dollar amounts, um, with like some degree of high quality ownership, at least as good as, you know, owning LP interest in an SPV, right?”
“Um, and, and that should be available to everyone. So that requires pushing on a bunch of things in the US, accredited investor rules being one of them.”
Claim: Vlad Tenev believes everyone should have access to fractional trading in private companies.
“Um, and, and that should be available to everyone. So that requires pushing on a bunch of things in the US, accredited investor rules being one of them.”
“But, uh, yeah, we're, we're highly motivated to lead that and, and make that happen.”
Claim: Robinhood is highly motivated to lead efforts to expand access to private-company trading.
“Yeah. You know, and there's... There was an initiative by the SEC, um, it was announced last week, to, uh, allow a separate path.”
“So they directed FINRA, which is the, uh, primary broker-dealer regulator, to create a, an exam, an accreditation exam, where, um, you know, you can go as an individual and get accredited by, you know, taking a two-hour exam at a testing facility.”
“V-versus it being asset based, or there's also, you know, you could be affiliated, you could have a series seven, which is an affiliation with a financial firm, uh, licensure. But yeah, so it's a knowledge-based exam. Um, and I think it's definitely a positive step. I think they're doing stuff. But yeah, I think the, the goal would be to make it lower friction, 'cause how many people are gonna go and sit for an exam, uh, at a testing facility?”
“But yeah, so it's a knowledge-based exam. Um, and I think it's definitely a positive step. I think they're doing stuff. But yeah, I think the, the goal would be to make it lower friction, 'cause how many people are gonna go and sit for an exam, uh, at a testing facility? So I, I think more work needs to be done, and we're, we're gonna be at the forefront of continuing to push for that.”
“So I, I think more work needs to be done, and we're, we're gonna be at the forefront of continuing to push for that.”
Claim: Robinhood intends to lead continued efforts to change the accredited-investor qualification process.
“For our customers, you know, I, we, we spend a lot of time talking to them, figuring out what they care about, and one of the things they care about most that they agree with is, uh, the statement that I should be in charge of, of my money, and nobody should tell me how to spend or invest my money. When we say to our customers, "Do you agree with this?" I mean, there's overwhelming agreement. Um, so not to say that they'll personally wanna do every type of risky speculative investment, but they don't think that it's the government's place or anyone's place to tell them what to do with their money broadly.”
“When we say to our customers, "Do you agree with this?" I mean, there's overwhelming agreement. Um, so not to say that they'll personally wanna do every type of risky speculative investment, but they don't think that it's the government's place or anyone's place to tell them what to do with their money broadly.”
“Now, of course, I think that people should be absolutely clear on what these products are, and so we should make sure to, uh, tell you what it is, give you as much information as possible.”
“But, you know, I, I think about this, am I gonna tell you not to invest in the hot IPO? IPOs are risky, for sure. Um, uh, meme coins even.”
Claim: Vlad Tenev says IPOs are risky.
“Meme coins have like perfect regulatory clarity. If you wanna buy a meme coin, you are free to do so, and the SEC even wrote a letter saying, "These are not securities, they're collectibles."”
Claim: Vlad Tenev says the SEC wrote that meme coins are collectibles rather than securities.
“Meme coins have like perfect regulatory clarity. If you wanna buy a meme coin, you are free to do so, and the SEC even wrote a letter saying, "These are not securities, they're collectibles."”
Claim: Vlad Tenev says meme coins have perfect regulatory clarity.
“You know, it's, uh, clear the, clear the way. Um, so I think, I think it's silly to... from, from a couple of different angles, not, not the least of which is, you know, meme coins are completely fine in any amount, but private companies-”
Claim: Vlad Tenev says meme coins are completely fine in any amount.
“Yeah, I, I think, I think that's right. And, and people are smart, right? I think that, um, I mean, there, there should be some sensible regulation.”
Claim: Vlad Tenev believes some sensible regulation should exist.
“I'm, I'm in favor of, of that, but I think that, um, we've just gone too far, and the, the conditions that made the accredited investor rule necessary no longer hold.”
“I mean, these rules are from a time before the internet. You couldn't even get any information. Um, and now there's just an influx of information about everything, particularly private companies and AI models that can just scour and synthesize it for you.”
“I mean, these rules are from a time before the internet. You couldn't even get any information. Um, and now there's just an influx of information about everything, particularly private companies and AI models that can just scour and synthesize it for you.”
“So, yeah, I think it, it makes a little bit less sense now.”
“Yeah. So this, uh, this was like our way of serving our country, which we're very proud of. Um, so Robinhood was, uh, selected as the sole initial trustee and broker for the Trump accounts, and we're working f-with BNY, which is America's oldest and most storied bank, and, and with Treasury and IRS to make this program happen.”
“Yeah. So this, uh, this was like our way of serving our country, which we're very proud of. Um, so Robinhood was, uh, selected as the sole initial trustee and broker for the Trump accounts, and we're working f-with BNY, which is America's oldest and most storied bank, and, and with Treasury and IRS to make this program happen.”
“And yeah, the, the idea behind it is, can we get- Every child from birth to own a chunk of the US economy through the S&P five hundred, through low cost diversified, uh, ETF.”
“And, uh, for every newborn child, so e-everyone born in January twenty twenty-five onward for the next three years, uh, they get a thousand dollars seeded by Treasury.”
“And Michael and Susan Dell, through their foundation, added another over six billion to children in lower income zip codes.”
“And a, a bunch of other people are following, like Gwynne Shotwell, uh, uh, committed a donation, SpaceX shares. Brad Gerstner, who was the brains and the architect behind the program, he, you know, pushed it forward and also, uh, made a, a really big donation to the, the citizens of Indiana and, and their children.”
“And a, a bunch of other people are following, like Gwynne Shotwell, uh, uh, committed a donation, SpaceX shares. Brad Gerstner, who was the brains and the architect behind the program, he, you know, pushed it forward and also, uh, made a, a really big donation to the, the citizens of Indiana and, and their children.”
Claim: Vlad Tenev says Gwynne Shotwell committed to donate SpaceX shares to the program.
“And, um, so we're kind of powering the infrastructure, building the app. Um, and, you know, we love it because I think it's the, I think it's the best thing for actually getting household stock ownership from sixty-five percent to ninety-five percent.”
“And, um, so we're kind of powering the infrastructure, building the app. Um, and, you know, we love it because I think it's the, I think it's the best thing for actually getting household stock ownership from sixty-five percent to ninety-five percent.”
“So, uh, when it's successful, I think it'll lead to, uh, a much more stable and prosperous society in, in many decades.”
“Our, our goal is to make this, like, the, um, the, the best product the government's ever launched and the most enduring positive, uh, aspect of, of, uh, President Trump's legacy. That's our goal.”
“I think going through a lot of challenges, um, as a child just made me very used to going through challenges, right? Um, and, you know, I had a, a, I had a very supportive and, uh, a-amazing family, great parents.”
Claim: Vlad Tenev says childhood challenges made him accustomed to facing challenges.
“made me very used to going through challenges, right? Um, and, you know, I had a, a, I had a very supportive and, uh, a-amazing family, great parents.”
Claim: Vlad Tenev says he had a very supportive family and great parents.
“But we were kind of, uh, in this together, right? We kind of all immigrated to the US at the same time, and I wasn't, like, a child that was given things, right?”
“It was almost like you're a member of this family, and we all kinda have to figure this out. You... I had my part. They had their parts. Um, so it was, you know, obviously their child, but kinda treated with a lot of autonomy, almost as an equal from a very young age.”
“Well, does it compare to the threat of deportation?" What about, you know... You know, we talk about inflation here of five percent and freak out about it. What about the two thousand percent inflation that, you know, we went through as, as children? Um, so, you know, sometimes I think about that with my own kids, right?”
“We try. I mean, I try to construct challenge, but you have to construct it, right? It, it's, it's a little bit harder. And they, they get a lot of positives. Like, they could have tutors. They could, you know, go to all kinds of museums that I didn't have, uh-”
“Like, they could have tutors. They could, you know, go to all kinds of museums that I didn't have, uh-”
Claim: Vlad Tenev says his children can have tutors and visit museums that he could not access as a child.
“Yeah. But, but they have safety. And, um, you know, I think there's something very important about having to, like, struggle and endure.”
Claim: Vlad Tenev believes struggling and enduring are very important.
“Yeah. But, but they have safety. And, um, you know, I think there's something very important about having to, like, struggle and endure.”
Claim: Vlad Tenev believes that struggling and enduring are important.
“I try to, like, uh, create that environment as much as possible, but I think I haven't figured it out. So, uh, I think, I think that's a big part of it, and also probably, as we were talking before, um, it's a good bit of, like, nature versus nurture.”
“I try to, like, uh, create that environment as much as possible, but I think I haven't figured it out. So, uh, I think, I think that's a big part of it, and also probably, as we were talking before, um, it's a good bit of, like, nature versus nurture. Maybe I was just born like that, and I don't know how much of it's the environment either.”
“I try to, like, uh, create that environment as much as possible, but I think I haven't figured it out. So, uh, I think, I think that's a big part of it, and also probably, as we were talking before, um, it's a good bit of, like, nature versus nurture.”
“I try to, like, uh, create that environment as much as possible, but I think I haven't figured it out. So, uh, I think, I think that's a big part of it, and also probably, as we were talking before, um, it's a good bit of, like, nature versus nurture.”
“Maybe I was just born like that, and I don't know how much of it's the environment either.”
“I think Bezos said this, right? The best approach to all of these challenges is just grow thick skin. You can control that about yourself, but you can't control the outside world.”
“So if you can actually do that, I think it, it seems to be a big superpower that not everyone is capable of.”