4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
normative claim

People should be humble about what they can achieve and focus on the nearer term because positive impact is easier to predict there, not because the nearer term is morally more important.

Tamay Besiroglu · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“Yeah, I think the overall takeaway I take from the way that I think about it, and I guess we think about it as be more humble in what you think you can achieve and”
“like just focus on the nearer term, not because it's more morally important than the longer term,”
“but just because it's much easier to have a predictably positive impact on that.”
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