causal claim
The speaker reasons that if AGI arrives in 2027 despite compute not being very large, substantial algorithmic or software progress must be providing leverage.
Tamay Besiroglu · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“compute not being very large so it must be that like you know you get a bunch of software progress yeah”Play from 57:38Report a misattribution
80%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
90%importance to the conversation
88%confidence the claim was read correctly