causal claim
AI progress accelerated alongside compute scaling, which may indicate that compute scaling was very important to the acceleration.
Tamay Besiroglu · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“which in fact coincides with the acceleration we see in compute scaling,”
“which gives you a hint that actually the compute scaling might have been very important.”Play from 50:10Report a misattribution
70%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
90%importance to the conversation
96%confidence the claim was read correctly