prediction claim
In the speaker's AI 2040 scenario, people will rely almost entirely on control from roughly 2030 to 2040, when AI capabilities are around the human range.
Thomas Larsen · AI 2040: Plan A report - Daniel Kokotajlo & Thomas Larsen · 8 Sep 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“our overall proposal is in the meantime,”
“so between in our scenario between sort of 2030 and 2040,”
“which is roughly when we're in the human range of AI capabilities,”
“we're going to basically almost entirely rely on control.”1:02:42Report a misattribution
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