prediction claim
The speaker thinks AI mistakes may gradually decline toward an asymptote as AI becomes superintelligent, eventually reaching a point after which people no longer worry about its mistakes and it can act on its own.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“i think that each individual failure like maybe it will make the national news maybe people say oh it's so strange that gpt7 did this particular thing and then they'll train it away and then it won't do that thing and there will be some point of the process of becoming super intelligent at which it i don't want to say makes the last mistake because you'll probably have like gradually decreasing number of mistakes to some asymptote but the last mistake”
“that anyone worries about and after that it will be able to do its own thing.”Play from 1:29:41Report a misattribution
75%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
90%importance to the conversation
91%confidence the claim was read correctly