Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 20 Oct 2026
opinion claim

At 50 times human serial speed, five years of real time would give AI systems about 250 years of serial time, which the speaker considers sufficient to resolve organizational problems.

Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“five years if they're going at 50x serial speed then five years is like uh is what like”
“250 years of sort of serial time for the ais uh which to me feels like more than enough to like really like sort out this sort of stuff like you'll have time for like sort of like empires to rise and fall so to speak and like all of that to be like added to the chaining data and like yeah um but i could see it taking longer than we depict like you know maybe instead of six months it'll be like 18 months you know”
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