prediction claim
The speaker warns that failure to establish power-sharing and broader government involvement could result in a dictatorship or oligarchy.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“somehow negotiate a truce between themselves to share power and then ideally spread that power out amongst the government and get the legislative branch involved you know somehow that has to happen too otherwise you end up with like this horrifying dictatorship or oligarchy and like it feels like all that stuff has to go right and we depict it all going mostly right in one ending of our story but uh yeah it's kind of rough”Play from 1:34:06Report a misattribution
85%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
96%importance to the conversation
94%confidence the claim was read correctly