A survey by Daniel asked AI researchers how their progress would change with one-thirtieth as much compute, and respondents said they would make one-third as much progress.

“Daniel mentioned this like survey he did where he.”

“the Daniel Cucutalo.”

“he asked a bunch of ai researchers if you had 1 30th the amount of compute and he did 1 30th because ai is supposed to think 30 times faster if you had 1 30th the amount to compute how much how much would your progress slow down and they say i make a third of the amount of progress i normally do so that's just a pretty good like substitution effect of you if you get one tenth to compute your progress only goes down one third um i was talking to an ai uh researcher the other day who's”