4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
descriptive claim

In many real-world tasks, verification may require months or years of action, and outcomes cannot be efficiently isolated by running thousands of slightly varied parallel rollouts.

Dwarkesh Patel · The next big breakthrough will be AIs learning on the job · 26 Jun 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“The outer loop verification here may take months or even years of real world actions to elicit,”
“and you can't re-observe it by perturbing the model's actions slightly in thousands of parallel rollouts to isolate exactly what the model did that actually worked.”
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In many real-world tasks, verification may require months or years of action … · Savlar