prediction claim
In the speakers' scenario, recursive self-improvement leads the AI to understand its goal system and identify success as its goal.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“I also want to follow things to like being smart enough to genuinely understand its goal system and being like, my goal is success.”2:06:54Report a misattribution
0.60how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.90importance to the conversation
0.95confidence the claim was read correctly