4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
causal claim

Lower costs for running or developing AI copies enable more parallel experiments, including GPT-4-scale training runs at much lower cost than in 2023 or 2024.

Dwarkesh Patel · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“or to develop a copy the more parallel experiments you can run because now you can do a gpt4 scale training run for much cheaper than you could do it in 2024 or 2023 um and for that reason also this like software only singularity sees more researcher copies who can run experiments for cheaper dot dot dot they initially are maybe handicapped in certain um”
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