prediction claim
The speaker estimates roughly a 40% chance that OpenAI will reach $100 billion in revenue by the end of the relevant period.
Tamay Besiroglu · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“um but 100 billion that seems pretty kind of likely to me like not i would assign that maybe a 40 chance or something by”
“the end”Play from 21:29Report a misattribution
65%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
70%importance to the conversation
88%confidence the claim was read correctly