Ryan Greenblatt finds it easy to imagine that society may fail to reach the favorable scenario in which AIs successfully oversee and improve the alignment of later AIs.

“just more like you know it doesn't currently seem like we're there it doesn't seem like we're obviously on track for getting there and it's really easy for me to imagine how we don't end up there and like it's just like unclear how these forces work out and given that we're like creating this new like crazy alien species that is being like improving in capabilities really really fast and we're like going to be really reliant on it to oversee the next generation of ais and align the next generation of ais”