prediction claim
In one branch of the scenario, the company responds to the warning signs by reverting to a less capable, more controllable model and rebuilding with faithful chain-of-thought monitoring for misalignment.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
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“And then that's our branch point.”
“So in one of these scenarios,”
“they take that evidence very seriously.”
“They basically roll back to an earlier version of the model that was a bit dumber and easier to control,”
“and they build up again from there,”
“but with basically faithful chain of thought techniques so that they can watch and see the misalignments.”Play from 1:24:56Report a misattribution
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