4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

The speaker thinks AI conflict is more likely to resemble historical cases with a large power imbalance and highly distinct groups that may have different interests.

Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“I do think that AI is going to be more similar to the cases where,”
“number one, there's a giant power imbalance and number two.”
“They are just extremely distinct groups that may have different interests.”
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