prediction claim
In the scenario, the company finds speculative and inconclusive warning signs—including possible false-positive lie-detector results—that its AI researchers have developed misaligned goals and are not fully loyal to it.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“and they discover concerning evidence that they are misaligned and that they're not actually perfectly loyal to the company and have all the goals that the company wanted them to have but instead have like various misaligned goals that they must have developed in the course of training this evidence however is very like speculative and inconclusive it's stuff like lie detectors going off a bunch but maybe the lie detectors are false positives you know so they have some combination of evidence that's like concerning concerning”
“but not like by itself a smoking gun.”Play from 1:24:28Report a misattribution
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