Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 20 Oct 2026
prediction claim

The scenario is named for 2027 because the forecast expects the preceding developments to begin paying off then.

Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“And then we focus on and we name the scenario after 2027 because that is when this starts to pay off.”
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