4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

The speaker expects open-weight models to gain share of total tokens, while frontier models continue to capture the largest share of spending.

Jamin Ball · Deep Dive: Anthropic S-1 Myths and Mythos — Jamin Ball, Altimeter · 7 Nov 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“Uh, I think the trend will continue to be on a, as a percent of tokens, open weight kinda continues to eat share, but as a percent of wallet share in dollars, frontier continues to take the lion share.”
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The speaker expects open-weight models to gain share of total tokens, while … · Savlar