opinion claim
The speakers are uncertain about the outcome of training that both rewards deceptive behavior and punishes it.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“Second of all, you're punishing them. And we don't have a great prediction for exactly how this is going to end.”Play from 2:06:07Report a misattribution
95%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
80%importance to the conversation
98%confidence the claim was read correctly