prediction claim
The speaker warns that during a six-month public-release delay, a company could make rapid internal progress through recursive self-improvement while the public's models remain years behind at the current pace.
Dwarkesh Patel · Dylan Patel – Anthropic & OpenAI will have most of the world’s compute by 2028 · 25 Aug 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“months they're just like they do like recursive self-improvement internally they just have all kinds of crazy shit happening in the company meanwhile the rest of us are stuck with models that are like at current pace years behind so”Play from 1:04:28Report a misattribution
75%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
90%importance to the conversation
90%confidence the claim was read correctly