4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

In the scenario, by mid-2027 AI R&D is basically fully automated: an internal army of AI researchers autonomously conducts research and continually trains to improve its skills.

Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“Right. So the crucial turning point is mid 2027 when they've basically fully automated the AI R&D process and they've got this like corporation within a corporation,”
“you know, the army of geniuses that are like autonomously doing all this research and they're continually being trained to improve their skills.”
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