The speaker considers falling rates but rising severity of problematic AI behavior consistent with increasing optimization pressure reducing problems overall, while difficult-to-evaluate cases or environments that incentivize problematic behavior can worsen.

“And then I think that the rates decreasing, but the severity increasing is pretty consistent with a world where like increasing optimization pressure is applied,”

“but in cases or towards reducing these problems,”

“but in cases where it's like either hard to judge or there's some reason why it's hard to like avoid incentivizing problematic behavior in our own environments.”

“things also get worse.”