prediction claim
The speaker believes that making whistleblower disclosures to the government legally permissible would change the decisions of some people, independently of legal protections against retaliation.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“say we're doing a secret intelligence explosion i think it's dangerous for these reasons is better than nothing like i think there's going to be like some fraction of people who for which that would make the difference like whether it's just literally allowed or not legally makes a difference independently of whether there's some law that says you're protected from retaliation or whatever just like literally just making it legal um yeah i think that's one thing”Play from 2:34:31Report a misattribution
80%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
85%importance to the conversation
93%confidence the claim was read correctly