The speaker says the timing of an alignment solution depends partly on lab capability, the care and time devoted to AI control, and whether labs verify that an AI's alignment plan is correct rather than deceptive.

“I don't really have a great sense of whether we get that before or after the AI has become completely uncontrollable.”

“I mean, a big part of that relies on the things we're talking about. How smart are the labs?”

“How carefully do they work on controlling the AI?”

“How long do they spend making sure the AI is actually under control and the alignment plan they gave us is actually correct rather than something they're trying to use to deceive us?”