prediction claim
The extent of model growth depends in non-obvious ways on scaling laws, and data efficiency may matter more than compute efficiency as high-quality pre-training data becomes scarce.
John Schulman · AI researchers debate how close we are to recursive self-improvement · 11 Sept 2026
In their words
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“bigger but i would say exactly how much they get bigger depends a bit on the scaling laws in non-obvious ways so one thing is that i think like data efficiency is going to be a bigger driver than compute efficiency of like the exact architectures people use now that we're getting to the regime where we're sort of running low on like high quality pre-training data so that might affect how sparse you want to make the model”Play from 1:12:25Report a misattribution
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