4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

The extent of model growth depends in non-obvious ways on scaling laws, and data efficiency may matter more than compute efficiency as high-quality pre-training data becomes scarce.

John Schulman · AI researchers debate how close we are to recursive self-improvement · 11 Sep 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“bigger but i would say exactly how much they get bigger depends a bit on the scaling laws in non-obvious ways so one thing is that i think like data efficiency is going to be a bigger driver than compute efficiency of like the exact architectures people use now that we're getting to the regime where we're sort of running low on like high quality pre-training data so that might affect how sparse you want to make the model”
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