prediction claim
The speaker believes humanity has a pretty good chance of surviving.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“But I do think that we have a pretty good chance of surviving.”Play from 1:37:19Report a misattribution
80%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
95%importance to the conversation
98%confidence the claim was read correctly