descriptive claim
The speaker says previous AI capability unlocks occurred about every three years during a period of rapid training-compute growth.
Tamay Besiroglu · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“Previous unlocks took about, you know, you get one every three years or so.”
“But of course that previous period coincided with this rapid scale-up.”Play from 5:51Report a misattribution
80%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
80%importance to the conversation
95%confidence the claim was read correctly