4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
descriptive claim

The speaker says previous AI capability unlocks occurred about every three years during a period of rapid training-compute growth.

Tamay Besiroglu · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“Previous unlocks took about, you know, you get one every three years or so.”
“But of course that previous period coincided with this rapid scale-up.”
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