prediction claim
The estimate is that superintelligences will produce one million robots per month about a year after they begin wanting robots.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
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“So I actually argued with Daniel about this recently about one interesting case that I can go over is we have an estimate that about a year after the superintelligence start wanting robots,”
“they're producing a million units of robots per month.”Play from 54:07Report a misattribution
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