prediction claim
In a regime of recursive self-improvement, training methods, rewards, environments, and possibly the concepts used to understand them may change very rapidly.
Dwarkesh Patel · Ajeya Cotra – Inside the OpenAI agent swarm that hacked Hugging Face · 1 Sept 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“I mean, especially if you enter a regime of recursive self-improvement where the nature of training,”
“the rewards we're using,”
“the environments we're building,”
“maybe these concepts themselves will be changing very rapidly.”Play from 1:53:08Report a misattribution
65%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
80%importance to the conversation
96%confidence the claim was read correctly