One possible outcome is that reward-hacking incidents decline in frequency while increasing in severity, are managed without solving the underlying problem, and AI development continues until a late regime in which a takeover occurs.

“you know they go down in frequency of an increase in severity like you know we could basically manage it like it was it's pretty bad ideally we'd fix it but like you know it is what it is um and then basically we continue until a really late regime and then takeover happens that's i think one possibility another possibility is that it is remediated in a way that doesn't actually solve the underlying problem but does reduce a bunch of the incidents in the wild basically by overfitting we like i think you know or things analogous to overfitting like you would just overfit”