prediction claim
The speaker thinks a global treaty prohibiting work on these kinds of AI systems, with reporting requirements, would require substantial political will and is probably unlikely.
Tim Scarfe · Three Red Lines We're About to Cross Toward AGI (Daniel Kokotajlo, Gary Marcus, Dan Hendrycks) · 24 Jun 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“Well, I mean, we could politically,”
“I mean, it would take a lot of willpower and it's probably not likely, but we could, you know, try to have a global treaty.”
“Don't go there.”
“Don't work on these kinds of things. Let's report it if you do.”Play from 20:32Report a misattribution
75%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
85%importance to the conversation
88%confidence the claim was read correctly