4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

The speaker says it is already somewhat easy to mistakenly believe AI alignment is solved, and expects this mistake to become easier as models become more sophisticated and situationally aware.

Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2040: Plan A report - Daniel Kokotajlo & Thomas Larsen · 8 Sep 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“I think in some sense the core problem is that it is already somewhat easy to think that you've solved the alignment problem and be wrong. And that's going to get easier and easier over time as the models get more sophisticated and start being more aware of their situation and clever and stuff like that. And so it's not that we think that like.”
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