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prediction claim

If recursive self-improvement begins in 2028, the speaker considers it possible that within a year it could produce Earth-sized populations of human-level or potentially superhuman intelligences that humans do not know how to control.

Unidentified speaker · Noam Brown – Agent swarms, alignment, & recursive self-improvement · 17 Sept 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“So there's been a lot of discussion recently about pacing the frontier or people taking RSI more seriously because maybe at the other end of an RSI process that say starts in 2028.”
“Within a year, we end up with huge populations, like earth-sized populations of human-level, potentially beyond human-level intelligences, and we don't know how to control them.”
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