4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

Daniel Kokotajlo argues conditionally that creating a country of geniuses in a data center would remove the population bottleneck and allow pre-1960 trends to continue.

Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“If you can create a country of geniuses in a data center,”
“as I think Dario Amadai put it,”
“then you no longer have this population bottleneck and you're just expecting continuation of those pre-1960 trends.”
32:18Report a misattribution
0.75how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.90importance to the conversation
0.95confidence the claim was read correctly