prediction claim
The speaker expects an arms race with China in the situation described by the scenario.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
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“Obviously we would get an arms race with China in that situation.”Play from 6:43Report a misattribution
90%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
80%importance to the conversation
96%confidence the claim was read correctly