descriptive claim
Scott Alexander observes that many people who say they lack ideas express plenty of ideas in their social media, comments, or conversations about AI risk.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“But usually when people complain that they're in that category,”
“I read their Twitter or I read their Tumblr or I read their ACX comments or I listen to what they have to say about AI risk when they're just talking to people about it.”
“And they actually have a huge amount of things to say.”Play from 2:44:16Report a misattribution
90%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
60%importance to the conversation
97%confidence the claim was read correctly