prediction claim
The speaker predicts that an autonomous industrial system could grow at an accelerating rate, potentially doubling every year, every six months, and eventually every three months as technology improves.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2040: Plan A report - Daniel Kokotajlo & Thomas Larsen · 8 Sept 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“factories being built by humanoid robots producing more humanoid robots producing more chip fabs and so forth. Like that whole thing can just be like doubling every year,”
“every six months.”
“every three months faster and faster as the technology improves because of course the ais will also be researching to improve the technology and then you end up with a situation where who knows what's going on in the rest of the world but anthropic has um disassembled the moon for example”Play from 34:28Report a misattribution
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