4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
causal claim

The lab with the most computers will not necessarily win, because cognitive effort, compute, experiments, or data can each be the bottleneck.

Unresolved speaker · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“So when you say you need a computer and experiments and data, but you also need cognitive effort Like that doesn't mean the lab who has the most computers gonna win”
“right like that's a very simple point like either one can be the bottleneck”
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