A strategy worth considering is to continually update estimates of positive and negative AI outcomes, including how those estimates change when resources shift from capabilities research to safety research.

“one might consider is, you know, maybe we should be constantly updating our estimates on, you know, how likely do you get the positive outcomes versus negative outcomes,”

“and how much would that change as a function,”

“for example,”

“of putting more resources into safety research as opposed to capabilities research, etc.”