descriptive claim

Producing four or five years of AI progress in one year would require overcoming substantial diminishing returns in research and achieving progress comparable to a very large increase in compute scale.

Ryan Greenblatt · Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research? · 11 Aug 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“And this requires really overcoming a huge amount of diminishing returns in research and basically doing the equivalent of what progress we would have gotten after a really large compute scale out.”

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