opinion claim
The speakers are very uncertain about the AI failure scenario they have described.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“we're very uncertain about all of this.”Play from 2:07:32Report a misattribution
95%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
80%importance to the conversation
99%confidence the claim was read correctly