4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

AI systems will need practical judgment about experiments and intuition for choosing effective training approaches, capabilities the speaker says current researchers have and AI systems currently lack.

Ryan Greenblatt · Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research? · 11 Aug 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“of like taste about in the weeds experiments that they currently don't have and need to have a bunch of intuition for like what sorts of training approach would work and what wouldn't work in ways that current researchers have and even in cases where there has been some breakthrough in AI oftentimes in retrospect it looks like a big bottleneck to making that breakthrough happen with sort of getting all of the like micro details and mungy intuition right like an example of this is”
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