prediction claim
A few relatively large countries with sufficient land could potentially achieve rapid internal growth from a lower starting point without relying on external supply chains, although catching up would be more difficult.
Unidentified speaker · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“I mean, for what it's worth, I do think it's possible if you have it just happen in a few countries which are relatively...”
“large and have enough land or something like those countries could just like they would be starting from a lower base compared to the rest of”
“the world so they would need to catch up to some extent so like if they are just going to sort of grow internally and they're not going to depend on the external supply chains but like that doesn't seem like something that's impossible to me that some countries could do it but it would just be like more difficult but in this setting”Play from 2:26:02Report a misattribution
65%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
80%importance to the conversation
91%confidence the claim was read correctly