descriptive claim
CPO's stated guarantee is that, when the system is within the constraint set, it remains within it after an update with 99% probability.
Alexander Mattick · Why Scaling Prediction Cannot Create Intelligence - Alexander Mattick · 21 Sept 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“And this gave it like C_P_O_ like where effectively it says, well if we are within the constraints and we are with ninety nine percent of our probability after doing that, set, we're still in there.”Play from 1:45:03Report a misattribution
80%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
75%importance to the conversation
85%confidence the claim was read correctly