The speaker broadly agrees that within about five years AI could surpass human experts in areas labs focus on, while less-studied areas may take longer because they have not been researched or allocated computing resources.

“yeah i mean i kind of agree in like the the five-year range at least for like the stuff that like labs are focusing on but i think like there's going to be a long tail of stuff which like yeah i could theoretically go out and learn about but like no one has bothered to do it and like the computer isn't being allocated to that so that might take longer for like literally every single human expert”