4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
opinion claim

The speaker agrees that bottlenecks and diminishing returns matter, but argues that this qualitative consideration alone cannot determine quantitatively which growth rates are possible; additional assumptions are needed.

Tamay Besiroglu · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“I mean, like,”
“we totally agree with that.”
“I would say that that's just like a kind of qualitative consideration. It doesn't.”
“itself, it isn't self-sufficient to make a prediction about what growth rates are permitted given these BOMO effects versus not. It's just like a qualitative consideration and then you might need to make additional assumptions to be able to make a quantitative prediction. So I think it's a little bit...”
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