prediction claim
The speaker's calculations indicate that an entirely machine-run self-replicating economy would have a much shorter doubling time than the current economy's roughly 20-year doubling time.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2040: Plan A report - Daniel Kokotajlo & Thomas Larsen · 8 Sept 2026
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“And according to our calculations,”
“the doubling time of this self replicating system would be much faster than the sort of like roughly 20 year doubling time of the current economy. And so.”Play from 32:31Report a misattribution
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